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ISM Exam INTE Topic 2 Question 13 Discussion

Actual exam question for ISM's Supply Management Integration exam
Question #: 13
Topic #: 2
[All Supply Management Integration Questions]

A supply manager is analyzing potential costs associated with the raw materials needed for a new product launch. Tooling costs are known, but the range of forecasts for future sales---and therefore demand for materials-varies widely. Given these circumstances, the supply manager should consider using which of the following?

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Suggested Answer: B

A decision tree is an effective tool for evaluating potential costs and benefits under conditions of uncertainty, such as varying forecasts for future sales. It allows the supply manager to visually map out different decision paths and their associated costs, probabilities, and outcomes. This helps in comparing different scenarios and making informed decisions about the raw materials needed for a new product launch. Decision trees are particularly useful in situations with multiple possible outcomes and complex decisions. Reference:

* Clemen, R. T., & Reilly, T. (2013). Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools. Cengage Learning.

* Heizer, J., Render, B., & Munson, C. (2017). Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management. Pearson.


Contribute your Thoughts:

Tamra
8 days ago
A) Data mining could be useful, but I think B) Decision tree is more tailored for this situation. Helps visualize the options.
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Aliza
14 days ago
I think data mining could also be useful in this situation to identify patterns in sales data that could help make more accurate forecasts.
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Goldie
22 days ago
I'd go with C) Analysis of variance. Gotta crunch those numbers and find the real deal, you know?
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Raymon
26 days ago
B) Decision tree seems like the way to go here. It can help the supply manager navigate the uncertainty and identify the best path forward.
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William
2 days ago
C) Analysis of variance might also be helpful in understanding how different factors impact sales and material demand.
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Oren
5 days ago
B) Decision tree is definitely a good option to consider, as it can help visualize different possible outcomes and their probabilities.
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Destiny
9 days ago
A) Data mining could also be useful in identifying patterns and trends in sales data that could help make more accurate forecasts.
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Leslee
30 days ago
I agree with Edelmira. A decision tree can help analyze different scenarios based on the range of forecasts for future sales.
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Edelmira
1 months ago
I think the supply manager should consider using a decision tree.
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